Publications

Peer Reviewed Articles (English journals only)

  1. Sugiyama, M., Fujimori, S., Wada, K., Kato, E., Matsuo, Y., Nishiura, O., Oshiro, K., Otsuki, T. (2024). Residual emissions and carbon removal towards Japan’s net-zero goal: a multi-model analysis. Environmental Research Communications, 6(5), 051008. https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad4af2
  2. Fujimori, S., Oshiro, K., Nishiura, O., Hasegawa, T., Shiraki, H. (2024). Integration of a computable general equilibrium model with an energy system model: Application of the AIM global model. Environmental Modelling & Software, 178, 106087. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106087
  3. Mori, S., Nishiura, O., Oshiro, K., Fujimori, S. (2024). Synthetic fuels mitigate the risks associated with rapid end-use technology transition in climate mitigation scenarios. Global Environmental Change Advances, 2, 100009. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gecadv.2024.100009
  4. Jansakoo, T., Sekizawa, S., Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Oshiro, K. (2024). Benefits of air quality for human health resulting from climate change mitigation through dietary change and food loss prevention policy. Sustainability Science. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-024-01490-w
  5. Chaichaloempreecha, A., Pradhan, B. B., Rajbhandari, S., Chunark, P., Fujimori, S., Oshiro, K., Hanaoka, T., Limmeechokchai, B. (2024). Macroeconomic impacts and co-benefits of deep-decarbonization in Thailand. Energy, Ecology and Environment. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40974-024-00324-w
  6. Oshiro, K., Fujimori, S. (2024). Mid-century net-zero emissions pathways for Japan: Potential roles of global mitigation scenarios in informing national decarbonization strategies. Energy and Climate Change, 5, 100128. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egycc.2024.100128
  7. Oshiro, K., Fujimori, S. (2024). Limited impact of hydrogen co-firing on prolonging fossil-based power generation under low emissions scenarios. Nature Communications,
  8. Oshiro, K., Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Asayama, S., Shiraki, H., Takahashi, K. (2023). Alternative, but expensive, energy transition scenario featuring carbon capture and utilization can preserve existing energy demand technologies. One Earth, 6(7), 872-883. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2023.06.005
  9. Fujimori, S., Oshiro, K., Hasegawa, T., Takakura, J., Ueda, K. (2023). Climate change mitigation costs reduction caused by socioeconomic-technological transitions. npj Climate Action, 2(1), 9. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-023-00041-w
  10. Limmeechokchai, B., Rajbhandari, S., Pradhan, B. B., Chunark, P., Chaichaloempreecha, A., Fujimori, S., Oshiro, K., Ochi, Y. (2023). Scaling up climate ambition post-2030: a long-term GHG mitigation analysis for Thailand. Climate Policy, 23(2), 168-183. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2022.2126813
  11. Zhao, S., Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Oshiro, K., Sasaki, K. (2022). Poverty and inequality implications of carbon pricing under the long-term climate target. Sustainability Science, 17(6), 2513-2528. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-022-01206-y
  12. Ju, Y., Sugiyama, M., Kato, E., Oshiro, K., Wang, J. (2022). Job creation in response to Japan’s energy transition towards deep mitigation: An extension of partial equilibrium integrated assessment models. Applied Energy, 318, 119178. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.119178
  13. Oshiro, K., Fujimori, S. (2022). Role of hydrogen-based energy carriers as an alternative option to reduce residual emissions associated with mid-century decarbonization goals. Applied Energy, 313, 118803. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.118803
  14. Baptista, L. B., Schaeffer, R., van Soest, H. L., Fragkos, P., Rochedo, P. R. R., van Vuuren, D., Dewi, R. G., Iyer, G., Jiang, K., Kannavou, M., Macaluso, N., Oshiro, K., Park, C., Reedman, L. J., Safonov, G., Shekhar, S., Siagian, U., Surana, K., Qimin, C. (2022). Good practice policies to bridge the emissions gap in key countries. Global Environmental Change, 73, 102472. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102472
  15. Riahi, K., Bertram, C., Huppmann, D., Rogelj, J., Bosetti, V., Cabardos, A.-M., Deppermann, A., Drouet, L., Frank, S., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Harmsen, M., Hasegawa, T., Krey, V., Luderer, G., Paroussos, L., Schaeffer, R., Weitzel, M., van der Zwaan, B., Vrontisi, Z., Longa, F. D., Després, J., Fosse, F., Fragkiadakis, K., Gusti, M., Humpenöder, F., Keramidas, K., Kishimoto, P., Kriegler, E., Meinshausen, M., Nogueira, L. P., Oshiro, K., Popp, A., Rochedo, P. R. R., Ünlü, G., van Ruijven, B., Takakura, J., Tavoni, M., van Vuuren, D., Zakeri, B. (2021). Cost and attainability of meeting stringent climate targets without overshoot. Nature Climate Change, 11(12), 1063-1069. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01215-2
  16. Drouet, L., Bosetti, V., Padoan, S. A., Aleluia Reis, L., Bertram, C., Dalla Longa, F., Després, J., Emmerling, J., Fosse, F., Fragkiadakis, K., Frank, S., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Harmsen, M., Krey, V., Oshiro, K., Nogueira, L. P., Paroussos, L., Piontek, F., Riahi, K., Rochedo, P. R. R., Schaeffer, R., Takakura, J. y., van der Wijst, K.-I., van der Zwaan, B., van Vuuren, D., Vrontisi, Z., Weitzel, M., Zakeri, B., Tavoni, M. (2021). Net zero-emission pathways reduce the physical and economic risks of climate change. Nature Climate Change, 11(12), 1070-1076. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01218-z
  17. van Soest, H. L., Aleluia Reis, L., Baptista, L. B., Bertram, C., Després, J., Drouet, L., den Elzen, M., Fragkos, P., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Grant, N., Harmsen, M., Iyer, G., Keramidas, K., Köberle, A. C., Kriegler, E., Malik, A., Mittal, S., Oshiro, K., Riahi, K., Roelfsema, M., van Ruijven, B., Schaeffer, R., Silva Herran, D., Tavoni, M., Unlu, G., Vandyck, T., van Vuuren, D. P. (2021). Global roll-out of comprehensive policy measures may aid in bridging emissions gap. Nature Communications, 12(1), 6419. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26595-z
  18. Hasegawa, T., Fujimori, S., Frank, S., Humpenöder, F., Bertram, C., Després, J., Drouet, L., Emmerling, J., Gusti, M., Harmsen, M., Keramidas, K., Ochi, Y., Oshiro, K., Rochedo, P., van Ruijven, B., Cabardos, A.-M., Deppermann, A., Fosse, F., Havlik, P., Krey, V., Popp, A., Schaeffer, R., van Vuuren, D., Riahi, K. (2021). Land-based implications of early climate actions without global net-negative emissions. Nature Sustainability(4), 1052–1059 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-021-00772-w
  19. Fujimori, S., Krey, V., van Vuuren, D., Oshiro, K., Sugiyama, M., Chunark, P., Limmeechokchai, B., Mittal, S., Nishiura, O., Park, C., Rajbhandari, S., Silva Herran, D., Tu, T. T., Zhao, S., Ochi, Y., Shukla, P. R., Masui, T., Nguyen, P. V. H., Cabardos, A.-M., Riahi, K. (2021). A framework for national scenarios with varying emission reductions. Nature Climate Change, 11(6), 472-480. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01048-z
  20. Oshiro, K., Fujimori, S., Ochi, Y., Ehara, T. (2021). Enabling energy system transition toward decarbonization in Japan through energy service demand reduction. Energy, 227, 120464. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.120464
  21. Sakamoto, S., Nagai, Y., Sugiyama, M., Fujimori, S., Kato, E., Komiyama, R., Matsuo, Y., Oshiro, K., Silva Herran, D. (2021). Demand-side decarbonization and electrification: EMF 35 JMIP study. Sustainability Science, 16(2), 395-410. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-021-00935-w
  22. Sugiyama, M., Fujimori, S., Wada, K., Oshiro, K., Kato, E., Komiyama, R., Silva Herran, D., Matsuo, Y., Shiraki, H., Ju, Y. (2021). EMF 35 JMIP study for Japan’s long-term climate and energy policy: scenario designs and key findings. Sustainability Science, 16(2), 355-374. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-021-00913-2
  23. Ju, Y., Sugiyama, M., Kato, E., Matsuo, Y., Oshiro, K., Silva Herran, D. (2021). Industrial decarbonization under Japan’s national mitigation scenarios: a multi-model analysis. Sustainability Science, 16(2), 411-427. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-021-00905-2
  24. Shiraki, H., Sugiyama, M., Matsuo, Y., Komiyama, R., Fujimori, S., Kato, E., Oshiro, K., Silva Herran, D. (2021). The role of renewables in the Japanese power sector: implications from the EMF35 JMIP. Sustainability Science, 16(2), 375-392. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-021-00917-y
  25. Fragkos, P., van Soest, H. L., Schaeffer, R., Reedman, L., Köberle, A. C., Macaluso, N., Evangelopoulou, S., De Vita, A., Sha, F., Qimin, C., Kejun, J., Mathur, R., Shekhar, S., Dewi, R. G., Herran, D. S., Oshiro, K., Fujimori, S., Park, C., Safonov, G., Iyer, G. (2021). Energy system transitions and low-carbon pathways in Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, EU-28, India, Indonesia, Japan, Republic of Korea, Russia and the United States. Energy, 216, 119385. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2020.119385
  26. Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Oshiro, K. (2020). An assessment of the potential of using carbon tax revenue to tackle poverty. Environmental Research Letters, 15(11), 114063. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abb55d
  27. Oshiro, K., Fujimori, S. (2020). Stranded investment associated with rapid energy system changes under the mid-century strategy in Japan. Sustainability Science, 16(2), 477-487. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-020-00862-2
  28. Bao, S., Nishiura, O., Fujimori, S., Oshiro, K., Zhang, R. (2020). Identification of Key Factors to Reduce Transport-Related Air Pollutants and CO2 Emissions in Asia. Sustainability, 12(18), 7621. https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/12/18/7621
  29. Schaeffer, R., Köberle, A. C., van Soest, H. L., Bertram, C., Luderer, G., Riahi, K., Krey, V., van Vuuren, D., Kriegler, E., Fujimori, S., Chen, W., He, C.-M., Vrontisi, Z., Vishwanathan, S. S., Garg, A., Mathur, R., Shekhar, S., Oshiro, K., Ueckerdt, F., Safonov, G., Iyer, G., Gi, K., Potashnikov, V. (2020). Comparing transformation pathways across major economies. Climatic Change, 162(4), 1787-1803. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02837-9
  30. Lefèvre, J., Briand, Y., Pye, S., Tovilla, J., Li, F., Oshiro, K., Waisman, H., Cayla, J.-M., Zhang, R. (2020). A pathway design framework for sectoral deep decarbonization: the case of passenger transportation. Climate Policy, 21(1), 93-106. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2020.1804817
  31. Wu, W., Hasegawa, T., Fujimori, S., Takahashi, K., Oshiro, K. (2020). Assessment of bioenergy potential and associated costs in Japan for the 21st century. Renewable Energy, 162, 308-321. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2020.08.015
  32. Roelfsema, M., van Soest, H. L., Harmsen, M., van Vuuren, D. P., Bertram, C., den Elzen, M., Höhne, N., Iacobuta, G., Krey, V., Kriegler, E., Luderer, G., Riahi, K., Ueckerdt, F., Després, J., Drouet, L., Emmerling, J., Frank, S., Fricko, O., Gidden, M., Humpenöder, F., Huppmann, D., Fujimori, S., Fragkiadakis, K., Gi, K., Keramidas, K., Köberle, A. C., Aleluia Reis, L., Rochedo, P., Schaeffer, R., Oshiro, K., Vrontisi, Z., Chen, W., Iyer, G. C., Edmonds, J., Kannavou, M., Jiang, K., Mathur, R., Safonov, G., Vishwanathan, S. S. (2020). Taking stock of national climate policies to evaluate implementation of the Paris Agreement. Nature Communications, 11(1), 2096. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-15414-6
  33. Fujimori, S., Oshiro, K., Shiraki, H., Hasegawa, T. (2019). Energy transformation cost for the Japanese mid-century strategy. Nature Communications, 10(1), 4737. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-12730-4
  34. Oshiro, K., Gi, K., Fujimori, S., van Soest, H. L., Bertram, C., Després, J., Masui, T., Rochedo, P., Roelfsema, M., Vrontisi, Z. (2019). Mid-century emission pathways in Japan associated with the global 2 °C goal: national and global models’ assessments based on carbon budgets. Climatic Change, 162(4), 1913-1927. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02490-x
  35. Waisman, H., Bataille, C., Winkler, H., Jotzo, F., Shukla, P., Colombier, M., Buira, D., Criqui, P., Fischedick, M., Kainuma, M., La Rovere, E., Pye, S., Safonov, G., Siagian, U., Teng, F., Virdis, M.-R., Williams, J., Young, S., Anandarajah, G., Boer, R., Cho, Y., Denis-Ryan, A., Dhar, S., Gaeta, M., Gesteira, C., Haley, B., Hourcade, J.-C., Liu, Q., Lugovoy, O., Masui, T., Mathy, S., Oshiro, K., Parrado, R., Pathak, M., Potashnikov, V., Samadi, S., Sawyer, D., Spencer, T., Tovilla, J., Trollip, H. (2019). A pathway design framework for national low greenhouse gas emission development strategies. Nature Climate Change, 9(4), 261-268. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0442-8
  36. Krey, V., Guo, F., Kolp, P., Zhou, W., Schaeffer, R., Awasthy, A., Bertram, C., de Boer, H.-S., Fragkos, P., Fujimori, S., He, C., Iyer, G., Keramidas, K., Köberle, A. C., Oshiro, K., Reis, L. A., Shoai-Tehrani, B., Vishwanathan, S., Capros, P., Drouet, L., Edmonds, J. E., Garg, A., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Jiang, K., Kannavou, M., Kitous, A., Kriegler, E., Luderer, G., Mathur, R., Muratori, M., Sano, F., van Vuuren, D. P. (2019). Looking under the hood: A comparison of techno-economic assumptions across national and global integrated assessment models. Energy, 172, 1254-1267. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.12.131
  37. Sugiyama, M., Fujimori, S., Wada, K., Endo, S., Fujii, Y., Komiyama, R., Kato, E., Kurosawa, A., Matsuo, Y., Oshiro, K., Sano, F., Shiraki, H. (2019). Japan’s long-term climate mitigation policy: Multi-model assessment and sectoral challenges. Energy, 167, 1120-1131. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.10.091
  38. Fragkos, P., Fragkiadakis, K., Paroussos, L., Pierfederici, R., Vishwanathan, S. S., Köberle, A. C., Iyer, G., He, C.-M., Oshiro, K. (2018). Coupling national and global models to explore policy impacts of NDCs. Energy Policy, 118, 462-473. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2018.04.002
  39. Oshiro, K., Masui, T., Kainuma, M. (2018). Transformation of Japan’s energy system to attain net-zero emission by 2050. Carbon Management, 9(5), 493-501. https://doi.org/10.1080/17583004.2017.1396842
  40. Oshiro, K., Kainuma, M., Masui, T. (2017). Implications of Japan’s 2030 target for long-term low emission pathways. Energy Policy, 110, 581-587. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.09.003
  41. Oshiro, K., Kainuma, M., Masui, T. (2016). Assessing decarbonization pathways and their implications for energy security policies in Japan. Climate Policy, 16(sup1), S63-S77. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2016.1155042
  42. Oshiro, K., Masui, T. (2015). Diffusion of low emission vehicles and their impact on CO2 emission reduction in Japan. Energy Policy, 81, 215-225. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2014.09.010

Books

  1. Oshiro, K., Masui, T., Kainuma, M. (2017). Quantitative Analysis of Japan’s 2030 Target Based on AIM/CGE and AIM/Enduse. In S. Fujimori, M. Kainuma, & T. Masui (Eds.), Post-2020 Climate Action: Global and Asian Perspectives (pp. 143-156). Singapore: Springer Singapore.
  2. Masui, T., Oshiro, K., Kainuma, M. (2016). Eighty Percent Reduction Scenario in Japan. In S. Nishioka (Ed.), Enabling Asia to Stabilise the Climate (pp. 55-66): Springer Singapore.

Other publications

  1. Zhao, S., Fujimori, S., Oshiro, K., Sasaki, K., Hasegawa, T., (2022) Household energy security under stringent climate change mitigation, Environmental & Sanitary Engineering Research 36, 60-62.
  2. Kainuma, M., Masui, T., Oshiro, K., & Zhang, R. (2017). Pathways to deep decarbonization of the passenger transport sector in Japan. IDDRI, http://www.iddri.org/Publications/Rapports-and-briefing-papers/DDPPTR_JAP.pdf.
  3. Hanaoka, T., Fujiwara, K., Motoki, Y., Oshiro, K., Hibino, G., Masui, T., Matsuoka, Y. (2015). AIM/Enduse Model Manual. National Institute for Environmental Studies. http://www-iam.nies.go.jp/aim/data_tools/enduse_model/aim_enduse_manual.pdf.
  4. Akimoto K., Shoai Tehrani, B., Sano, F., Oda, J., Kainuma, M., Masui, T., & Oshiro, K. (2015). MILES (Modelling and Informing Low Emissions Strategies Project – Japan Policy Paper: A joint analysis of Japan’s INDC
  5. Spencer, T., Pierfederici, R., et al. (2015). Beyond the numbers: understanding the transformation induced by INDCs, Study N°05/15, IDDRI – MILES Project Consortium, Paris, France
  6. Kainuma, M., Masui, T., Oshiro, K., Hibino, G. (2015). Pathways to deep decarbonization in Japan, SDSN-IDDRI, http://deepdecarbonization.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/DDPP_JPN.pdf
  7. Kainuma, M., Oshiro, K., Hibino, G., Masui, T. (2014). Pathway to deep decarbonization 2014 report, PART III Country Chapter Japan, SDSN-IDDRI, 2014.9. http://unsdsn.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/DDPP_Digit.pdf
  8. Kainuma, M., Oshiro, K., Hibino, G., Masui, T. (2014). Pathway to deep decarbonization interim 2014 report: PART III Country Chapter Japan, SDSN-IDDRI, 2014.7. http://unsdsn.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/DDPP_interim_2014_report.pdf

Peer Review Experiences

  • Applied Energy
  • Climate Policy
  • Energy and Climate Change
  • Energy Policy
  • Environmental Research Communications
  • Environmental Research Letters
  • International Journal of Hydrogen Energy
  • Journal of Cleaner Production
  • Nature
  • Nature Climate Change
  • Nature Communications
  • npj Climate Action
  • Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
  • Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition
  • Renewable Energy
  • Scientific Reports
  • Sustainability
  • Sustainability Science
  • Technological Forecasting & Social Change
  • The Energy Journal
  • Transportation Research Part D Transport and Environment